MuslimPoll Data-driven journalism on the Muslim world

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MuslimPoll

The Islamic world is the most mismeasured region on Earth. Every post starts with a number everyone quotes, shows why it's wrong, and reveals what the better measurement says about the future.

Demography

Population, fertility, aging — the numbers behind the headlines.

Demography · No. 03

Why the Bust?

Fertility collapsed before the money, before the jobs, and before the secularization wave. We lined up the usual suspects and checked who had an alibi. Most of them did.

2026-08-27 · 8 min read

Demography · No. 02

The Muslim World's Baby Bust

The most repeated demographic "fact" about Islam is a generation out of date. Fertility across the Muslim world has collapsed faster than almost anywhere in recorded history — and almost nobody noticed.

2026-08-26 · 6 min read

History

Islamic intellectual frameworks tested as analytical theory — Khaldun with Kaplan-Meier.

History · No. 04

Khaldun's Law

In 1377, Ibn Khaldun predicted dynasties die after about three generations. We ran 85 Muslim dynasties through survival analysis to test him. He was almost right, in the most interesting way.

2026-08-27 · 7 min read

Society

Everyday life as measured, not imagined — crime, safety, cohesion.

Society · No. 05

Safe Streets, Unsafe Homes

Measured by everyday violence instead of war headlines, the Muslim world has some of the safest streets on Earth — and a problem at home that the headlines never mention.

2026-08-31 · 7 min read

Faith

Islam's own frameworks as measurement — maqasid, ethics, and what the data says.

Faith · No. 06

Islam's Own Scorecard

Every development index measures the world by Western yardsticks. What happens if you score 216 countries by Islam's own stated ends — the five maqasid?

2026-09-02 · 7 min read